The Hot War Between the United States and China

Several decades ago, I formed a firm belief that the majority of conflicts that erupted in various regions of the world during the Cold War, which ended with the collapse of the Soviet Union at the end of the 1980s, and in the period that followed, can be attributed to a hidden struggle between the two superpowers for global leadership, both politically and economically.

When I emphasized this reality in my writings and numerous television interviews, and predicted a potential military confrontation between these two powers, many rushed to accuse me of pessimism and making unrealistic predictions. However, I remain steadfast in this conviction, and it may be helpful to revisit some key facts to demonstrate the validity of the warning I previously issued, which are as follows:

America's contribution to global economic growth is still 17% while China's is 35%, this is one of the elements of competition.
The Russian ambassador to Washington says he sees no possibility of peaceful coexistence with the West.
Former U.S. Secretary of Defense Schenayan states that America's three primary priorities in the world are China, China, and China.
U.S. Secretary of Defense Mark Esper, who disagreed with President Trump on the management of the internal crisis, stated that America must concentrate on an impending conflict in which China and Russia are the primary adversaries, and it will be characterized by high-intensity warfare. He further emphasized that the Chinese economy represents a significant threat to the United States.
In an interview conducted years before his death, former President Carter stated that President Trump had expressed deep concern about China surpassing the United States. Carter agreed, explaining that the reason for this was America's expenditure of 3 trillion dollars on wars, while China directed its spending toward infrastructure development.

Experts, including The Economist magazine, anticipate that the initial spark of conflict will arise in the South China Sea.

Russian analyst Alexander Nazarov stated that the United States seeks to engage with China to establish a new global system and unified leadership, but China has rejected this proposal. However, he believes China will be compelled to agree due to the ensuing military conflict.

Trump stated that the September 11 attacks and the events at Pearl Harbor in 1941 are comparable to the COVID-19 crisis, but the latter is even worse.

U.S. statements have progressively centered on the Chinese Communist Party.

The new U.S. Director of National Intelligence, John Ratcliffe, asserts that China represents a threat to America's national security.

Trump threatens to disclose information regarding the responsibility for everything that occurred in America during the COVID-19 crisis, stating that China made a significant error and must both acknowledge and be held accountable for it.

China's investments in the BRICS countries project surpass 35 trillion and have risen by over five trillion in the past four months.

Pompeo claims that the Chinese regime is antagonistic to the ideology of free nations, as he characterizes it. Consequently, the expectation, as in other countries, is that each nation must alter its system to align with the American model.

Trump demands that China comply with U.S. trade policies.

The Chinese president asserts that China must enhance its military preparedness in anticipation of war, emphasizing that this should occur now, rather than after the COVID-19 crisis concludes.

For my part, I assert that the fact that China and the United States are both nuclear powers does not preclude the possibility of war between them, as nuclear power is no longer a weapon of war, but rather a deterrent of war.

As I have consistently emphasized, war between the two giants poses a significant risk and harm to both parties and others. It is not an objective in itself, but rather a means to initiate negotiations and establish the framework for a new world order.

These facts may serve to confirm what I have previously cautioned about and continue to stress.

Talal Abu-Ghazaleh